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| NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory on March 16, 2015 Credit: NASA/SDO |
The Sun undergoes a type of seasonal
variability with its activity waxing and waning over the course of
nearly two years, according to a new study by a team of researchers led
by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR). This behavior
affects the peaks and valleys in the approximately 11-year solar cycle,
sometimes amplifying and sometimes weakening the solar storms that can
buffet Earth's atmosphere.
The quasi-annual variations appear to be driven by changes in
the bands of strong magnetic fields in each solar hemisphere. These
bands also help shape the approximately 11-year solar cycle that is part
of a longer cycle that lasts about 22 years.
"What we're looking at here is a massive driver of solar storms,"
said Scott McIntosh, lead author of the new study and director of NCAR's
High Altitude Observatory. "By better understanding how these activity
bands form in the Sun and cause seasonal instabilities, there's the
potential to greatly improve forecasts of space weather events."
The overlapping bands are fueled by the rotation of the Sun's deep
interior, according to observations by the research team. As the bands
move within the Sun's northern and southern hemispheres, activity rises
to a peak over a period of about 11 months and then begins to wane.
The quasi-annual variations can be likened to regions on Earth that
have two seasons, such as a rainy season and a dry season, McIntosh
said.
The study, published this week in
Nature Communications, can
help lead to better predictions of massive geomagnetic storms in Earth's
outer atmosphere that sometimes disrupt satellite operations,
communications, power grids, and other technologies.
The research was funded by NASA and the National Science Foundation, which is NCAR's sponsor.
A "jet stream" in the Sun
The new study is one of a series of papers by the research team that
examines the influence of the magnetic bands on several interrelated
cycles of solar magnetism. In a paper last year in
Astrophysical Journal,
the authors characterized the approximately 11-year sunspot cycle in
terms of two overlapping parallel bands of opposite magnetic polarity
that slowly migrate over almost 22 years from high solar latitudes
toward the equator, where they meet and terminate.
McIntosh and his co-authors detected the twisted, ring-shaped bands
by drawing on a host of NASA satellites and ground-based observatories
that gather information on the structure of the Sun and the nature of
solar flares
and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). These observations revealed the
bands in the form of fluctuations in the density of magnetic fuel that
rose from the solar interior through a transition region known as the
tachocline and on to the surface, where they correlated with changes in
flares and CMEs.
In the new paper, the authors conclude that the migrating
bands produce seasonal variations in solar activity that are as strong
as the more familiar 11-year counterpart. These quasi-annual variations
take place separately in both the northern and southern hemispheres.
"Much like Earth's jet stream, whose warps and waves have had severe
impact on our regional weather patterns in the past couple of winters,
the bands on the Sun have very slow-moving waves that can expand and
warp it too," said co-author Robert Leamon, a scientist at Montana State
University. "Sometimes this results in magnetic fields leaking from one
band to the other. In other cases, the warp drags magnetic fields from
deep in the solar interior, near the tachocline, and pushes them toward
the surface."
The surges of magnetic fuel from the Sun's interior catastrophically
destabilize the corona, the Sun's outermost atmosphere. They are the
driving force behind the most destructive
solar storms.
"These surges or 'whomps' as we have dubbed them, are responsible for
over 95 percent of the large flares and CMEs—the ones that are really
devastating," McIntosh said.
The quasi-annual variability can also help explain a cold-war era
puzzle: why do powerful solar flares and CMEs often peak a year or more
after the maximum number of sunspots? This lag is known as the Gnevyshev
Gap, after the Soviet scientist who first reported it in the 1940s. The
answer appears to be that seasonal changes may cause an upswing in
solar disturbances long after the peak in the solar cycle.
Researchers can turn to advanced computer simulations and more
detailed observations to learn more about the profound influence of the
bands on solar activity. McIntosh said this could be assisted by a
proposed network of satellites observing the Sun, much as the global
networks of satellites around Earth have helped advance terrestrial
weather models since the 1960s.
"If you understand what the patterns of
solar activity
are telling you, you'll know whether we're in the stormy phase or the
quiet phase in each hemisphere," McIntosh said. "If we can combine these
pieces of information, forecast skill goes through the roof."
Link:
http://phys.org/news/2015-04-sun-seasonal.html
